Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1241.756705 1432.781225 1653.765646 1930.773821 2272.219237 2683.968794 3.225258e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 992.426922 1237.255416 1552.099257 1996.601947 2624.976577 3509.524076 4.903852e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 861.046116 1124.106039 1484.919336 2034.448901 2886.119576 4224.627790 6.649724e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 754.860916 1020.031189 1401.980628 2019.299128 3050.270784 4829.677472 8.485449e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 689.906338 960.890335 1368.573807 2064.190675 3310.684078 5669.210446 1.119132e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 612.714463 871.719176 1273.614120 1986.871908 3333.867514 6070.127206 1.319634e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 552.448665 800.577353 1196.124933 1923.066412 3362.868255 6488.370108 1.552304e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 500.837707 737.116821 1122.489673 1852.336681 3359.572379 6833.247189 1.791210e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 483.449659 726.682579 1136.039639 1944.472904 3716.416694 8176.006285 2.474966e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 461.768866 706.518067 1129.544413 1995.762601 3997.116262 9458.179667 3.304083e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 439.554933 683.051541 1113.910304 2025.220560 4234.790613 10743.480783 4.345832e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 414.208529 651.712656 1079.992130 2010.126870 4357.679681 11742.046378 5.438515e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 397.442627 635.217009 1074.409206 2061.287422 4686.872758 13715.965097 7.759511e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 385.334176 626.171117 1082.563776 2146.638678 5148.150342 16591.132074 1.215340e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 369.712600 609.001864 1072.139315 2185.803294 5488.637582 19295.463528 1.833718e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 350.482277 583.340782 1041.396789 2169.590944 5651.035615 21348.358294 2.576520e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 338.645697 570.815705 1036.693787 2218.867010 6054.989669 25160.599252 4.338920e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 316.979458 537.492506 984.169483 2133.897242 5957.059786 25973.210488 5.478163e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 298.338078 508.907116 939.488482 2063.838594 5896.933768 27036.755612 7.168715e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 280.641108 481.103904 894.268153 1986.260878 5788.645512 27726.639258 9.130978e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 277.178724 481.558331 911.873229 2087.334910 6427.899931 34946.097262 2.435803e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 270.676618 475.317181 913.644039 2143.662291 6914.013159 42052.993976 7.162351e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 263.007731 466.107598 907.625365 2176.033339 7314.700341 49426.740678 2.807495e+07